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- Glenn Proctor, Partner
- Joseph W. Ciatti Co., LLC
- San Rafael, Ca
- Phone: 415/458-5150
- Fax: 415/458-5160
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- Sales Update
- Grape/Wine Market
- International
- The Future
- Questions
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- Wine shipments +2.2% (bttld) 2.2% Overall YTD
- GFA Premium Wine Index +7%
- Premium growth offset by losses in economy wines
- Bulk Exports +2% YTD; Bottled -2% YTD
- Limited gain given world supply
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- Imports growing faster than domestic
- Total imports to US + 9% (bottled +2%, Bulk +109%) CA > US +2.8%
- Australia +4%; Spain +13%; France +24% (mostly bulk)
- Imports could reach 30% of all wine consumed in U.S. by end of the
year.
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- PINOT, PINOT, PINOT!!!! Large
Statewide
- CH picked up late; CS and ME unsold or custom crushed
- 05 Hangover - Major wineries on sideline or selling fruit/wine
- Notice on existing contracts Growers have been willing to Custom Crush
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- Overall Market will improve
- CH continues to strengthen especially Santa Barbara & No. Mont.
Cty
- PN Strong but less pkg deals.
Spot Mkt will soften
- SY weakness outside of varietal market
- CS will show signs of improvement prices still below expectations
Opportunistic buyers
- ME continues to be challenged.
Significant amts of grafting
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- VERY LARGE Carry-over of 05- working thru it
- Current Central Coast Bulk Market
- CH Balanced (05 Long)
- CS Long
- ME Long
- ZN Balanced
- PN - Short
- Market has begun to recover
- Normal Buyers reappearing
- Middle of market beginning to return
- Seeing activity on 05 Cabernet
- 05 will be used in other vintages
- Good Initial 06 Activity
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- Pricing
- Valley $3.00 4.00
- Coastal $6.00 9.00
- (05 $3.50 5.25)
- Napa/Sonoma $10.00 15.00
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- Pricing
- Valley $2.50 4.00
- Coastal $4.00 7.00
- Napa/Sonoma $6.00 12.00
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- Pricing
- Valley $2.50 4.50
- Coastal $4.50 8.00
- Napa/Sonoma $8.00 22.00
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- Pricing
- Valley $6.00 8.50
- Coastal $8.00 10.00
- Napa/Sonoma $10.00 16.00
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- Pricing
- Valley N/A N/A
- Coastal $14.00 20.00
- Napa/Sonoma $20.00 25.00
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- Pricing
- Valley $3.50 4.50
- Coastal $5.00 7.00
- Napa/Sonoma $7.00 10.00
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- Pricing
- Valley $3.50 5.50
- Coastal $5.00 8.50
- Napa/Sonoma $9.00 14.00
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- All wineries weighing global opportunities the supply is there!
- Bulk importing could increase category base w/ short varieties produce future CA demand?
- Imports will continue to grow if consumers indifferent and cost
advantages exist
- CA must compete based on quality and price
- Need Understanding CentralCoast/CA/World Supply/Demand Balance
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- 06 Crop severly impacted by 05 hangover
- Strong early season bulk activity
- Market should strengthen, when we move through 05 bulk, Ltd. New
Acres/Growing Demand
- CC is still oversupplied relative to Premium Brand Development
- 07 grape demand to improve longer term contracts CH/PN
- PN may soften on spot, but will remain solid
- Long term effects to CA of off shore sourcing?
- Future looking Brighter
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- To sign up for our E-Newsletter
- Ciatti Insight
- Email Lora at
- Lora@ciatti.com
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- Joseph W. Ciatti Co., LLC
- Glenn Proctor/ Chris Welch
- T.415/458-5150
- E. glenn@ciatti.com
- www.ciatti.com
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